The Trend Doktor: Monday

The Trend Doktor

Monday, 12/02/02

Home: 168-139-54
Totals: 155-166-40
Avg. Goals Per Game: 5.47

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New Jersey @ Philadelphia: last eleven meetings 3 overs, 7 unders, 1 push, averaging 4.00 goals per game. In those eleven meetings, both teams scored FOUR PP goals combined.

 

[ThreeUnits]

I read today that the last 3 meetings between Devils and Flyers have all been 1-0 games.
I'm on the under.

 

passed on total (dont lay that much esp. on an under 5.0) was looking for someone man enough to put up a 4.5 which is what it should have opened. did njd pk even. so far so good for you...

bb

 

[ThreeUnits]

yeah. BB, like I think it was you whod in an eail this morning, -140 is a lot to lay.

but with three 1-0s in a row, I decided to bite the bullet. through one period now at 0-0 ... only 12 total shots on goal ...

plus took NJ like you did, E -105

 

you BIG fav now 0-0 after one.
key is for these books to wake up and start putting up 4.5's. note that in most cases the line of totals which open -40 (even -35) or higher end up closing higher, meaning the books opened an incorrect total. and to make matters worse, after getting bet on the -40's they just go to -50 (or even -60) instead of adjusting the total. oh, well, a 2-0 final (so we dont have to sweat the final minutes) will be acceptable.

bb

 

[JeffH]

I know that Centrebet wants to make every wager taken to be a winner or a loser because of the betting tax that they pay on all wagers, including pushes. They have some absolutely insane lines out right now:

Minnesota at Edmonton:
under 5 1/2 -200
over 5 1/2 +150

Calgary at Colorado:
under 5 1/2 -161
over 5 1/2 +120

If there was ever a shop that might jump first at the idea of showing totals of 4 1/2, it might be these guys. Still, they deal lines of about -115 on totals (ie: 1.85 or -118 on one side and 1.90 or -111 on the other side), so this is an expensive place to wager, even if they get their totals down to 4 1/2.